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UEFA Conference League

Inter Turku vs Sarajevo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Inter Turku Inter TurkuvsSarajevo Sarajevo
Our predictionInter Turku to win
Model score: Low · 28/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Inter Turku at 45%. The model leans toward Inter Turku. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Inter TurkuDraw2 · Sarajevo
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.08+4.1%
1X2Sarajevo3.37+2.1%
1X2Inter Turku2.03-1.0%
1X2Draw3.52-1.1%
BTTSYes1.67-4.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Inter Turku
56
Sarajevo
53

Most likely scorelines

1-112.0%
1-011.4%
2-19.4%
2-09.0%
0-17.6%
0-07.3%

Recent form

Inter TurkuDLWLW
SarajevoDWWDD

Expected goals

1.57Inter Turku
xG
1.05Sarajevo
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Inter Turku Sarajevo

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Inter Turku win2.03Fair (-1.0%)
Double chanceInter Turku or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07841
1111262
29952
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Inter Turku at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sarajevo at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Inter Turku. Inter Turku is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.52. Sarajevo is priced at 3.37.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sarajevo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Inter Turku or Sarajevo?

Our model rates Inter Turku as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Inter Turku vs Sarajevo?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Inter Turku wins, 1 draws, 0 Sarajevo wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.