Inter Turku vs Sarajevo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Inter Turku at 45%. The model leans toward Inter Turku. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sarajevo.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sarajevo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Turku is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Inter Turku at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sarajevo at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Inter Turku. Inter Turku is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.52. Sarajevo is priced at 3.37.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sarajevo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Inter Turku or Sarajevo?
Our model rates Inter Turku as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Inter Turku vs Sarajevo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Inter Turku wins, 1 draws, 0 Sarajevo wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.