Paide Linnameeskond vs Hegelmann Litauen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Paide Linnameeskondvs
Hegelmann LitauenThe model puts Paide Linnameeskond at 60%. The model leans toward Paide Linnameeskond. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Paide Linnameeskond have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hegelmann Litauen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paide Linnameeskond is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Paide Linnameeskond at 60%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hegelmann Litauen at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Paide Linnameeskond. Paide Linnameeskond is priced at 1.57. The draw is priced at 3.92. Hegelmann Litauen is priced at 5.52.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Paide Linnameeskond have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Hegelmann Litauen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Paide Linnameeskond or Hegelmann Litauen?
Our model rates Paide Linnameeskond as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Paide Linnameeskond vs Hegelmann Litauen?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Paide Linnameeskond wins, 1 draws, 0 Hegelmann Litauen wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.