Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pyunikvs
MarsaxlokkThe model puts Pyunik at 76%. The model leans toward Pyunik. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Pyunik.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pyunik have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Marsaxlokk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pyunik is priced at 1.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pyunik at 76%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Marsaxlokk at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Pyunik. Pyunik is priced at 1.25. The draw is priced at 5.3. Marsaxlokk is priced at 11.8.
Marsaxlokk have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pyunik have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Marsaxlokk have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pyunik or Marsaxlokk?
Our model rates Pyunik as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Pyunik wins, 0 draws, 1 Marsaxlokk wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.