Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hamrun Spartansvs
NSI RunavikThe model puts Hamrun Spartans at 55%. The model leans toward Hamrun Spartans. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hamrun Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- NSI Runavik have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hamrun Spartans is priced at 1.71.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hamrun Spartans at 55%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts NSI Runavik at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hamrun Spartans. Hamrun Spartans is priced at 1.71. The draw is priced at 3.64. NSI Runavik is priced at 4.675.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hamrun Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. NSI Runavik have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hamrun Spartans or NSI Runavik?
Our model rates Hamrun Spartans as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hamrun Spartans wins, 1 draws, 0 NSI Runavik wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.