VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
VMFD Zalgiris Vilniusvs
PetrovacThe model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 72%. The model leans toward VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Petrovac have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 1.32.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 72%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Petrovac at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 4.9. Petrovac is priced at 8.9.
Petrovac have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Petrovac have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius or Petrovac?
Our model rates VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius vs Petrovac?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius wins, 0 draws, 1 Petrovac wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.