Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vikingur Gotavs
StjarnanThe model puts Stjarnan at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Stjarnan.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Vikingur Gota have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stjarnan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vikingur Gota have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stjarnan is priced at 2.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Vikingur Gota at 37%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Stjarnan at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Vikingur Gota is priced at 2.45. The draw is priced at 3.8. Stjarnan is priced at 2.45.
Vikingur Gota have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Vikingur Gota have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Stjarnan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Stjarnan are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vikingur Gota or Stjarnan?
Our model rates Stjarnan as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vikingur Gota vs Stjarnan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Vikingur Gota wins, 0 draws, 0 Stjarnan wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.