Virtus vs Dila Gori: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Virtusvs
Dila GoriThe model puts Dila Gori at 64%. The model leans toward Dila Gori. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dila Gori.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Virtus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dila Gori have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Virtus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dila Gori is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Virtus at 16%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Dila Gori at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Dila Gori. Virtus is priced at 5.78. The draw is priced at 4.45. Dila Gori is priced at 1.48.
Virtus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Virtus have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Dila Gori have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dila Gori are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Virtus or Dila Gori?
Our model rates Dila Gori as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Virtus vs Dila Gori?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Virtus wins, 0 draws, 0 Dila Gori wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.