Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dinamo Tbilisivs
Mondorf-les-BainsThe model puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 69%. The model leans toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dinamo Tbilisi.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dinamo Tbilisi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mondorf-les-Bains have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi is priced at 1.373.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dinamo Tbilisi at 69%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Mondorf-les-Bains at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Dinamo Tbilisi is priced at 1.373. The draw is priced at 4.5. Mondorf-les-Bains is priced at 8.1.
Mondorf-les-Bains have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dinamo Tbilisi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Mondorf-les-Bains have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dinamo Tbilisi or Mondorf-les-Bains?
Our model rates Dinamo Tbilisi as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Dinamo Tbilisi wins, 0 draws, 1 Mondorf-les-Bains wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.