Astana vs Dinamo City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Astanavs
Dinamo CityThe model puts Astana at 67%. The model leans toward Astana. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Astana.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Astana have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dinamo City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Astana is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Astana at 67%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Dinamo City at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Astana. Astana is priced at 1.44. The draw is priced at 4.15. Dinamo City is priced at 7.25.
Dinamo City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Astana have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Dinamo City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Astana or Dinamo City?
Our model rates Astana as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Astana vs Dinamo City?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Astana wins, 0 draws, 1 Dinamo City wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.