Ilves vs Differdange 03: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ilvesvs
Differdange 03The model puts Ilves at 64%. The model leans toward Ilves. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ilves.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ilves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Differdange 03 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ilves is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ilves at 64%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Differdange 03 at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Ilves. Ilves is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 3.88. Differdange 03 is priced at 6.91.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ilves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Differdange 03 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ilves or Differdange 03?
Our model rates Ilves as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ilves vs Differdange 03?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Ilves wins, 1 draws, 0 Differdange 03 wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.