Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Torpedo Kutaisivs
ZiraThe model puts Zira at 47%. The model leans toward Zira. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Zira.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Torpedo Kutaisi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zira have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torpedo Kutaisi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Zira is priced at 2.05.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Torpedo Kutaisi at 25%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Zira at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Zira. Torpedo Kutaisi is priced at 3.59. The draw is priced at 3.26. Zira is priced at 2.05.
Torpedo Kutaisi have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Torpedo Kutaisi have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Zira have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Zira are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Torpedo Kutaisi or Zira?
Our model rates Zira as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Torpedo Kutaisi wins, 0 draws, 0 Zira wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.