St Joseph's vs Bohemian Dublin: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St Joseph'svs
Bohemian DublinThe model puts Bohemian Dublin at 69%. The model leans toward Bohemian Dublin. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours St Joseph's.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St Joseph's have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bohemian Dublin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St Joseph's have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bohemian Dublin is priced at 1.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St Joseph's at 12%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Bohemian Dublin at 69%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Bohemian Dublin. St Joseph's is priced at 7.8. The draw is priced at 4.75. Bohemian Dublin is priced at 1.36.
St Joseph's have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
St Joseph's have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bohemian Dublin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St Joseph's or Bohemian Dublin?
Our model rates Bohemian Dublin as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St Joseph's vs Bohemian Dublin?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 St Joseph's wins, 0 draws, 0 Bohemian Dublin wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.