Ballkani vs Connah's Quay Nomads: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ballkanivs
Connah's Quay NomadsThe model puts Ballkani at 78%. The model leans toward Ballkani. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ballkani.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ballkani have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Connah's Quay Nomads have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ballkani is priced at 1.206.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 14 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ballkani at 78%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Connah's Quay Nomads at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Ballkani. Ballkani is priced at 1.206. The draw is priced at 6.45. Connah's Quay Nomads is priced at 11.5.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ballkani have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Connah's Quay Nomads have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ballkani or Connah's Quay Nomads?
Our model rates Ballkani as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ballkani vs Connah's Quay Nomads?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Ballkani wins, 1 draws, 0 Connah's Quay Nomads wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.