Huachipato vs Cobresal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Huachipatovs
CobresalThe model puts Huachipato at 57%. The model leans toward Huachipato. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Huachipato.
- +The head-to-head record favours Huachipato (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Huachipato have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cobresal have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Huachipato have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Huachipato is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Huachipato at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Cobresal at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Huachipato. Huachipato is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.85. Cobresal is priced at 5.09.
Huachipato have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Cobresal have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Huachipato have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cobresal have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Huachipato or Cobresal?
Our model rates Huachipato as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Huachipato vs Cobresal?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Huachipato wins, 1 draws, 1 Cobresal wins.
League table
Chile. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo-Colo | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 29:12 | 36 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica Santiago | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 7 |  Everton de Vina del Mar | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Nublense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 9 |  Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 30:23 | 21 |
| 10 |  O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:22 | 20 |
| 11 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:26 | 19 |
| 12 |  Deportes La Serena | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 13 |  Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 14 |  Club Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 14:28 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.