Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Coquimbo Unidovs
Universidad de ConcepcionThe model puts Coquimbo Unido at 65%. The model leans toward Coquimbo Unido. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Universidad de Concepcion.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Coquimbo Unido have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Universidad de Concepcion have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Coquimbo Unido have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Coquimbo Unido is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Coquimbo Unido at 65%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Universidad de Concepcion at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Coquimbo Unido. Coquimbo Unido is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 4.55. Universidad de Concepcion is priced at 7.7.
Coquimbo Unido have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Universidad de Concepcion have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Coquimbo Unido have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Universidad de Concepcion have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Coquimbo Unido or Universidad de Concepcion?
Our model rates Coquimbo Unido as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Coquimbo Unido wins, 1 draws, 2 Universidad de Concepcion wins.
League table
Chile. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo-Colo | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 29:12 | 36 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica Santiago | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 6 |  Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 7 |  Everton de Vina del Mar | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Nublense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 9 |  Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 30:23 | 21 |
| 10 |  O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:22 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:26 | 19 |
| 12 |  Deportes La Serena | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 13 |  Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 14 |  Club Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 14:28 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.