Colo-Colo vs Deportes Limache: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Colo-Colovs
Deportes LimacheThe model puts Colo-Colo at 63%. The model leans toward Colo-Colo. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Colo-Colo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Colo-Colo (3-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Colo-Colo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportes Limache have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colo-Colo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colo-Colo is priced at 1.45.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Colo-Colo at 63%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Deportes Limache at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Colo-Colo. Colo-Colo is priced at 1.45. The draw is priced at 4.5. Deportes Limache is priced at 6.18.
Colo-Colo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Colo-Colo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Deportes Limache have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Colo-Colo or Deportes Limache?
Our model rates Colo-Colo as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Colo-Colo vs Deportes Limache?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Colo-Colo wins, 2 draws, 0 Deportes Limache wins.
League table
Chile. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo-Colo | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 29:12 | 36 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica Santiago | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:18 | 24 |
| 5 |  Palestino | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 6 |  Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 7 |  Everton de Vina del Mar | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Nublense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 30:23 | 21 |
| 10 |  O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19:22 | 20 |
| 11 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:26 | 19 |
| 12 |  Deportes La Serena | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 13 |  Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 14 |  Club Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14:23 | 14 |
| 15 |  Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 14:28 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.