Molde vs Brann: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Moldevs
BrannThe model puts Molde at 46%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Molde.
- +The head-to-head record favours Molde (6-0-0).
- −Molde are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Brann are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Molde have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brann have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Molde have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Molde will be without Dal, Kikkenborg.
- Brann will be without Boakye N., Gudmundsson, Opsahl S..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Molde at 46%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Brann at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Molde. Molde is priced at 2.09. The draw is priced at 3.8. Brann is priced at 3.2.
Molde have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Molde have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Brann have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Molde or Brann?
Our model rates Molde as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Molde vs Brann?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 Molde wins, 0 draws, 0 Brann wins.
Match statistics
Molde
- 5Hestad
- 6Amundsen
- 10Breivik E.
- 17Daehli Ma.
- 18Stenevik H.
- 21Spiten-Nysaeter
- 22Posiadala
- 23Granaas
- 24Kone-Doherty
- 25Linnes
- 33Risa B.
- Dal (Missing Player)
- Kikkenborg (Missing Player)
Brann
- 3Knudsen F.
- 8Horn Myhre F.
- 10Ingason K.
- 12Nielsen
- 14Mathisen
- 17Soltvedt J.
- 20Dragsnes
- 25Wassberg
- 29Holm N.
- 32Holand
- 43Holten
- Boakye N. (Missing Player)
- Gudmundsson (Missing Player)
- Opsahl S. (Missing Player)
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo-Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 |  Viking | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Molde | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 6 |  HamKam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 9 | Brann | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 10 |  Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 12 |  Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 13 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:30 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.