Viking vs Sandefjord: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vikingvs
SandefjordThe model puts Viking at 72%. The model leans toward Viking. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sandefjord (0-0-6).
- −Viking are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Sandefjord are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viking have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sandefjord have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viking will be without Roseth, Berisha V.
- Sandefjord will be without Bjune, Vester J..
- Viking is priced at 1.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Viking at 72%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Sandefjord at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Viking. Viking is priced at 1.27. The draw is priced at 6.15. Sandefjord is priced at 9.7.
Sandefjord have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Viking have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sandefjord have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viking or Sandefjord?
Our model rates Viking as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viking vs Sandefjord?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Viking wins, 0 draws, 6 Sandefjord wins.
Match statistics
Viking
- 5Heggheim
- 6Stensness G.
- 7Askildsen
- 10Tripic
- 17Austbo E.
- 20Christiansen P.
- 25Falchener
- 26Kvia-Egeskog
- 28Haugen
- 29Moi
- 30Belko L.
- Roseth (Missing Player)
- Berisha V (Missing Player)
Sandefjord
- 3Egeli
- 4Pedersen
- 6Mork
- 7Patoulidis
- 10Alte
- 11Moller N.
- 14Pettersen
- 20Melchior
- 30Hadaya
- 44Lambrix K.
- 47Kristiansen
- Bjune (Missing Player)
- Vester J. (Missing Player)
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo-Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Viking | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 6 |  HamKam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 8 |  Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 9 |  Brann | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 12 |  Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 13 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:30 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.