Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanghai Portvs
Shenzhen Peng CityThe model puts Shanghai Port at 62%. The model leans toward Shanghai Port. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shanghai Port.
- +The head-to-head record favours Shanghai Port (4-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shanghai Port have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shenzhen Peng City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shanghai Port have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shanghai Port is priced at 1.55.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Port at 62%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Shenzhen Peng City at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Shanghai Port. Shanghai Port is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 4.15. Shenzhen Peng City is priced at 5.32.
Shanghai Port have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Shanghai Port have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Shenzhen Peng City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanghai Port or Shenzhen Peng City?
Our model rates Shanghai Port as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Peng City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Shanghai Port wins, 1 draws, 0 Shenzhen Peng City wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.