Sint-Truidense vs Lommel SK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sint-Truidensevs
Lommel SKThe model puts Sint-Truidense at 61%. The model leans toward Sint-Truidense. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sint-Truidense (10-1-4).
- −Sint-Truidense are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Lommel SK are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sint-Truidense have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lommel SK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sint-Truidense have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sint-Truidense will be without Ito R., Ferrari.
- Lommel SK will be without Banguera, Adewoye Sh., Krastev F..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sint-Truidense at 61%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Lommel SK at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sint-Truidense. Sint-Truidense is priced at 1.6. The draw is priced at 4.12. Lommel SK is priced at 5.35.
Sint-Truidense have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. Lommel SK have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sint-Truidense have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lommel SK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sint-Truidense or Lommel SK?
Our model rates Sint-Truidense as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sint-Truidense vs Lommel SK?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 10 Sint-Truidense wins, 1 draws, 4 Lommel SK wins.
Match statistics
Sint-Truidense
- 0Lendfers
- 0Hata
- 0Musliu
- 0Taniguchi
- 0Vanwesemael
- 0Sissako
- 0Matsuzawa
- 0Sebaoui
- 0Merlen
- 0Ishiwatari N.
- 0Diouf
- Ito R. (Missing Player)
- Ferrari (Missing Player)
Lommel SK
- 0Pieklak
- 0Oware
- 0Tolinsson
- 0Eyoma
- 0Duiven
- 0Reyners T.
- 0Pelupessy
- 0Nypan
- 0Vancsa
- 0Seuntjens
- 0Schoofs L.
- Banguera (Questionable)
- Adewoye Sh. (Missing Player)
- Krastev F. (Questionable)
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.