Gent vs Mechelen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gentvs
MechelenThe model puts Gent at 47%. The model leans toward Gent. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Mechelen (3-4-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gent have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mechelen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gent have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Gent is priced at 1.975.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gent at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Mechelen at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Gent. Gent is priced at 1.975. The draw is priced at 3.64. Mechelen is priced at 3.66.
Gent have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Mechelen have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Gent have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Mechelen have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gent or Mechelen?
Our model rates Gent as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gent vs Mechelen?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Gent wins, 4 draws, 8 Mechelen wins.
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.