K.V.C. Westerlo vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
K.V.C. Westerlovs
Royale Union Saint-GilloiseThe model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 57%. The model leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Royale Union Saint-Gilloise.
- +The head-to-head record favours Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (2-5-8).
- +K.V.C. Westerlo are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Royale Union Saint-Gilloise are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- K.V.C. Westerlo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- K.V.C. Westerlo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- K.V.C. Westerlo will be without Munz, Ourega.
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise will be without Hurtevent, Sykes R..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts K.V.C. Westerlo at 21%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Royale Union Saint-Gilloise at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Royale Union Saint-Gilloise. K.V.C. Westerlo is priced at 4.46. The draw is priced at 3.88. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise is priced at 1.75.
K.V.C. Westerlo have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
K.V.C. Westerlo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, K.V.C. Westerlo or Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
Our model rates Royale Union Saint-Gilloise as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for K.V.C. Westerlo vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 K.V.C. Westerlo wins, 5 draws, 8 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise wins.
Match statistics
K.V.C. Westerlo
- 0Jungdal
- 0Mbamba-Muanda
- 0Lapage
- 0Kimura
- 0Munz
- 0Keybus
- 0Haspolat D.
- 0Sydorchuk
- 0Sakamoto
- 0Saito Ka.
- 0Laalaoui
- Munz (Questionable)
- Ourega (Missing Player)
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
- 0Koffi
- 0Leysen
- 0Patris
- 0Mac Allister K.
- 0Niang
- 0Zorgane
- 0Van De Perre
- 0Khalaili
- 0Zeneli
- 0Ait El Hadj
- 0Rodriguez
- Hurtevent (Missing Player)
- Sykes R. (Questionable)
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.