Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Standard Liegevs
Cercle BruggeThe model puts Standard Liege at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cercle Brugge.
- +Cercle Brugge are dealing with notable absentees.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Standard Liege have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cercle Brugge have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Standard Liege have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Standard Liege will be without Homawoo.
- Cercle Brugge will be without Ndala, Ouatarra, Агикум.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Standard Liege at 39%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Cercle Brugge at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Standard Liege is priced at 2.432. The draw is priced at 3.42. Cercle Brugge is priced at 2.85.
Standard Liege have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Cercle Brugge have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Standard Liege have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Cercle Brugge have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Standard Liege or Cercle Brugge?
Our model rates Standard Liege as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege wins, 2 draws, 2 Cercle Brugge wins.
Match statistics
Standard Liege
- 0Epolo
- 0Mortensen
- 0Lawrence
- 0Lavalee
- 0Hautekiet
- 0Fossey
- 0Goemare
- 0Ilaimaharitra
- 0Karamoko
- 0Abid
- 0Nkada
- Homawoo (Missing Player)
Cercle Brugge
- 0Delanghe
- 0Konate
- 0Kondo
- 0Kakou
- 0Jurado
- 0Herrmann
- 0Agyekum
- 0Diaby
- 0Magni
- 0Steve Ngoura
- 0Vanzeir
- Ndala (Questionable)
- Ouatarra (Missing Player)
- Агикум (Missing Player)
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.