Zulte Waregem vs Genk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Zulte Waregemvs
GenkThe model puts Genk at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Genk (2-2-11).
- −Recent form favours Zulte Waregem.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zulte Waregem have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Genk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zulte Waregem have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Genk is priced at 2.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zulte Waregem at 32%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Genk at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Genk. Zulte Waregem is priced at 3.104. The draw is priced at 3.64. Genk is priced at 2.19.
Zulte Waregem have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Genk have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zulte Waregem have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Zulte Waregem are on 2 wins in a row. Genk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Genk are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zulte Waregem or Genk?
Our model rates Genk as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zulte Waregem vs Genk?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Zulte Waregem wins, 2 draws, 11 Genk wins.
Match statistics
Zulte Waregem
- 0Gabryel
- 0Kiilerich
- 0Lemoine
- 0De Jaegere
- 0Kappel
- 0Claes
- 0Ujka
- 0Ake
- 0Hedl
- 0Lofolomo
- 0Ementa
Genk
- 0Brughmans
- 0Palacios
- 0Kongolo
- 0Sattlberger
- 0Akpan
- 0Bangura
- 0Heynen
- 0Yokoyama
- 0Heymans D.
- 0Erenbjerg
- 0Durosinmi
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.