R. Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
R. Charleroivs
Oud-Heverlee LeuvenThe model puts R. Charleroi at 52%. The model leans toward R. Charleroi. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Oud-Heverlee Leuven (2-6-7).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- R. Charleroi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- R. Charleroi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- R. Charleroi will be without Mardochee Nzita.
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven will be without Manuel Osifo.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts R. Charleroi at 52%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Oud-Heverlee Leuven at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward R. Charleroi. R. Charleroi is priced at 1.784. The draw is priced at 3.7. Oud-Heverlee Leuven is priced at 4.48.
R. Charleroi have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
R. Charleroi have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Oud-Heverlee Leuven have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, R. Charleroi or Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Our model rates R. Charleroi as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for R. Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 R. Charleroi wins, 6 draws, 7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven wins.
Match statistics
R. Charleroi
- 0Kone
- 0Sow
- 0Keita
- 0Ousou
- 0Piron
- 0Romsås IL
- 0Khalifi
- 0Bernier
- 0Pflucke
- 0Van Den Kerkhof
- 0Scheidler
- Mardochee Nzita (2)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 0Leysen
- 0Gil
- 0Nyakossi
- 0Pletinckx
- 0Balikwisha
- 0Siebe Schrijvers
- 0Lakomy
- 0Opoku
- 0George Lu.
- 0Traore
- 0Vaesen
- Manuel Osifo (3)
League table
Belgium. Jupiler League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Royal Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Lommel SK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | R. Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Zulte Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  K.V.C. Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  S.K. Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.