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Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Viktoria Plzen Viktoria PlzenvsSlovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
Our predictionViktoria Plzen to win
Model score: High · 73/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Viktoria PlzenDraw2 · Slovan Liberec
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.02+11.0%
1X2Slovan Liberec5.79+2.1%
1X2Viktoria Plzen1.49-0.8%
1X2Draw4.35-1.3%
BTTSYes1.71-11.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Viktoria PlzenWLDDW
Slovan LiberecWWDWL
Team strength rating
Viktoria Plzen
73
Slovan Liberec
47

Most likely scorelines

1-013.8%
2-013.5%
1-19.6%
2-19.4%
3-08.8%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

1.96Viktoria Plzen
xG
0.70Slovan Liberec
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Viktoria Plzen Slovan Liberec

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Viktoria Plzen win1.49Fair (-0.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114103
21393
3962
4431
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Slovan Liberec at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.35. Slovan Liberec is priced at 5.79.

Viktoria Plzen have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Slovan Liberec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Viktoria Plzen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Liberec have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Liberec are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Viktoria Plzen or Slovan Liberec?

Our model rates Viktoria Plzen as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Viktoria Plzen wins, 2 draws, 1 Slovan Liberec wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Czech Republic. Chance Liga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
11. Slovacko00000:00
2Hradec Kralove00000:00
3Bohemians 1905 Prague00000:00
4Zbrojovka00000:00
5Jablonec00000:00
6Slovan Liberec00000:00
7Mlada Boleslav00000:00
8Banik Ostrava00000:00
9Viktoria Plzen00000:00
10Sigma Olomouc00000:00
11Slavia Prague00000:00
12AC Sparta Prague00000:00
13Teplice00000:00
14Zlin00000:00
15Artis Brno00000:00
16Pardubice00000:00
Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs) Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places) First League (Relegation Group)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.