Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Slovan Liberec.
- +The head-to-head record favours Viktoria Plzen (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Viktoria Plzen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slovan Liberec have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viktoria Plzen have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Viktoria Plzen at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Slovan Liberec at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Viktoria Plzen. Viktoria Plzen is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.35. Slovan Liberec is priced at 5.79.
Viktoria Plzen have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Slovan Liberec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Viktoria Plzen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Liberec have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Slovan Liberec are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Viktoria Plzen or Slovan Liberec?
Our model rates Viktoria Plzen as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Viktoria Plzen vs Slovan Liberec?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Viktoria Plzen wins, 2 draws, 1 Slovan Liberec wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.