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Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Teplice vs Bohemians 1905 Prague: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Teplice TeplicevsBohemians 1905 Prague Bohemians 1905 Prague
Our predictionTeplice to win
Model score: Low · 19/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Teplice at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · TepliceDraw2 · Bohemians 1905 Prague
Full team comparison

Recent form

TepliceWLLWW
Bohemians 1905 PragueWWLDL

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%
1-010.8%
2-19.1%
0-18.4%
2-07.9%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Teplice
53
Bohemians 1905 Prague
56

Expected goals

1.47Teplice
xG
1.14Bohemians 1905 Prague
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Teplice Bohemians 1905 Prague

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Teplice win2.40Fair
Double chanceTeplice or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1111273
28952
3443
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.02+1.7%
1X2Bohemians 1905 Prague3.15+1.3%
1X2Teplice2.40-0.3%
1X2Draw2.96-1.0%
BTTSYes1.71-1.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Teplice at 39%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Bohemians 1905 Prague at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Teplice is priced at 2.395. The draw is priced at 2.96. Bohemians 1905 Prague is priced at 3.145.

Teplice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Bohemians 1905 Prague have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Teplice have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bohemians 1905 Prague have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Bohemians 1905 Prague are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Teplice or Bohemians 1905 Prague?

Our model rates Teplice as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Teplice vs Bohemians 1905 Prague?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Teplice wins, 2 draws, 3 Bohemians 1905 Prague wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Czech Republic. Chance Liga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
11. Slovacko00000:00
2Hradec Kralove00000:00
3Bohemians 1905 Prague00000:00
4Zbrojovka00000:00
5Jablonec00000:00
6Slovan Liberec00000:00
7Mlada Boleslav00000:00
8Banik Ostrava00000:00
9Viktoria Plzen00000:00
10Sigma Olomouc00000:00
11Slavia Prague00000:00
12AC Sparta Prague00000:00
13Teplice00000:00
14Zlin00000:00
15Artis Brno00000:00
16Pardubice00000:00
Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs) Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places) First League (Relegation Group)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.