Bodo-Glimt vs HamKam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bodo-Glimtvs
HamKamThe model puts Bodo-Glimt at 86%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bodo-Glimt.
- −The head-to-head record favours HamKam (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bodo-Glimt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- HamKam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bodo-Glimt have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.075.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 86%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts HamKam at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.075. The draw is priced at 12. HamKam is priced at 23.
Bodo-Glimt have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. HamKam have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bodo-Glimt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. HamKam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or HamKam?
Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 86% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs HamKam?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Bodo-Glimt wins, 1 draws, 4 HamKam wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Viking | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 31:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Bodo-Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 29 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Molde | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Brann | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 28:22 | 19 |
| 7 | HamKam | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 8 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 10 |  Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 13 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14:33 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.