Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Jablonecvs
Sigma OlomoucThe model puts Jablonec at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sigma Olomouc.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sigma Olomouc (1-2-3).
- +Sigma Olomouc are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Jablonec have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sigma Olomouc have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jablonec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sigma Olomouc will be without Dembe, Elbel, Maly M., Урича.
- Jablonec is priced at 2.28.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Jablonec at 40%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Sigma Olomouc at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Jablonec is priced at 2.28. The draw is priced at 3.36. Sigma Olomouc is priced at 2.967.
Jablonec have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sigma Olomouc have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Jablonec have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sigma Olomouc have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Sigma Olomouc are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Jablonec or Sigma Olomouc?
Our model rates Jablonec as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Jablonec wins, 2 draws, 3 Sigma Olomouc wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  1. Slovacko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Hradec Kralove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Zbrojovka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Slovan Liberec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Mlada Boleslav | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Viktoria Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sigma Olomouc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Slavia Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  AC Sparta Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Teplice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Zlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Artis Brno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pardubice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.