Hradec Kralove vs Pardubice: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hradec Kralovevs
PardubiceThe model puts Hradec Kralove at 49%. The model leans toward Hradec Kralove. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Hradec Kralove.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hradec Kralove (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pardubice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hradec Kralove have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hradec Kralove will be without Petrasek.
- Pardubice will be without Kharatishvili.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hradec Kralove at 49%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Pardubice at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hradec Kralove. Hradec Kralove is priced at 1.89. The draw is priced at 3.54. Pardubice is priced at 3.82.
Hradec Kralove have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Pardubice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hradec Kralove have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Pardubice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hradec Kralove or Pardubice?
Our model rates Hradec Kralove as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hradec Kralove vs Pardubice?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Hradec Kralove wins, 2 draws, 1 Pardubice wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  1. Slovacko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hradec Kralove | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bohemians 1905 Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Zbrojovka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Slovan Liberec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Mlada Boleslav | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Banik Ostrava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Viktoria Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Sigma Olomouc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Slavia Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  AC Sparta Prague | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Teplice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Zlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Artis Brno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Pardubice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.