Tromso vs Hradec Kralove: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tromsovs
Hradec KraloveThe model puts Tromso at 55%. The model leans toward Tromso. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Tromso have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Tromso is priced at 1.71.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Tromso at 55%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Hradec Kralove at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tromso. Tromso is priced at 1.71. The draw is priced at 3.6. Hradec Kralove is priced at 4.685.
Tromso have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tromso or Hradec Kralove?
Our model rates Tromso as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tromso vs Hradec Kralove?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.