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UEFA Champions League

AC Omonia vs Kairat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

AC Omonia AC OmoniavsKairat Kairat
Our predictionAC Omonia to win
Model score: Medium · 52/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts AC Omonia at 56%. The model leans toward AC Omonia. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · AC OmoniaDraw2 · Kairat
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Kairat5.46+2.4%
BTTSNo1.76+1.6%
1X2Draw3.74-1.0%
1X2AC Omonia1.62-1.4%
BTTSYes1.95-1.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
AC Omonia
67
Kairat
50

Most likely scorelines

1-013.2%
2-012.3%
1-110.3%
2-19.6%
3-07.7%
0-07.1%

Recent form

AC OmoniaWDDWW
KairatWWWWW

Expected goals

1.87AC Omonia
xG
0.78Kairat
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
AC Omonia Kairat

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2AC Omonia win1.62Fair (-1.4%)
Double chanceAC Omonia or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131041
212104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts AC Omonia at 56%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Kairat at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward AC Omonia. AC Omonia is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.74. Kairat is priced at 5.46.

The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

AC Omonia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Kairat are on 5 wins in a row.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, AC Omonia or Kairat?

Our model rates AC Omonia as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for AC Omonia vs Kairat?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 AC Omonia wins, 2 draws, 0 Kairat wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.