Scotland. League Cup

Cove Rangers vs St. Mirren: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Cove Rangersvs

St. Mirren

Our predictionSt. Mirren to win

Model score: Medium · 50/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts St. Mirren at 71%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Cove Rangers12%Draw17%2 · St. Mirren71%

1 · Cove RangersDraw2 · St. Mirren

Full team comparison →

Team strength rating

Cove Rangers

St. Mirren

Most likely scorelines

0-115.8%

0-215.5%

0-310.2%

1-18.8%

1-28.6%

0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.56Cove Rangers

1.97St. Mirren

Over 2.5 goals46%

Both teams to score37%

Match DNA

Cove Rangers St. Mirren

Key points

St. Mirren is priced at 1.27.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The model puts the draw at 17%.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2St. Mirren win1.27Fair (-0.6%)

Double chanceSt. Mirren or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	16	16	10	5	2
1	4	9	9	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Cove Rangers8.30+0.8%

1X2Draw5.20-0.2%

1X2St. Mirren1.27-0.6%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts St. Mirren at 71%. The model puts Cove Rangers at 12%. The model puts the draw at 17%.

St. Mirren is priced at 1.27. Cove Rangers is priced at 8.3. The market leans toward St. Mirren.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals. The model gives 37% for both teams to score.

Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →