Aberdeen vs Queen's Park: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Aberdeenvs
Queen's ParkThe model puts Aberdeen at 69%. The model leans toward Aberdeen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Queen's Park.
- +The head-to-head record favours Aberdeen (2-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queen's Park have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Aberdeen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Aberdeen is priced at 1.28.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Aberdeen at 69%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Queen's Park at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Aberdeen. Aberdeen is priced at 1.28. The draw is priced at 4.95. Queen's Park is priced at 8.6.
Aberdeen have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Queen's Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Aberdeen are on 2 wins in a row. Queen's Park have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Queen's Park are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Aberdeen or Queen's Park?
Our model rates Aberdeen as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Aberdeen vs Queen's Park?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Aberdeen wins, 0 draws, 1 Queen's Park wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Aberdeen
- 7Yogane
- 8Lyons B.
- 11Smith
- 15Nisbet K.
- 22Милн
- 23Maio
- 24Guinness-Walker N.
- 25Ronan C.
- 26Happe
- 27Muller M.
- 32Afeez A.
Queen's Park
- 4Murray
- 5Lami
- 7Longridge L.
- 8Martin S.
- 9Ruth
- 10Hamilton J.
- 11Connolly Ai.
- 12Pignatiello
- 22Shiels M.
- 27Smith Cal.
- 30Wills
Match story
How the game unfoldedAberdeen make it count (Happe (3')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)
Half-time score: Aberdeen 1 – 0 Queen's Park.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Park | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Queen of the South | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.