Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Chengdu Rongcheng II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Hangzhou Linping Wuyue at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chengdu Rongcheng II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is priced at 2.53.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hangzhou Linping Wuyue at 38%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Chengdu Rongcheng II at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is priced at 2.53. The draw is priced at 2.96. Chengdu Rongcheng II is priced at 2.63.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Chengdu Rongcheng II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue or Chengdu Rongcheng II?
Our model rates Hangzhou Linping Wuyue as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Chengdu Rongcheng II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue wins, 1 draws, 0 Chengdu Rongcheng II wins.
Match statistics
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
- 3Yang
- 6He
- 7Gao
- 11Yin
- 15Jin
- 18Abdusalam
- 22Ye
- 26Xu
- 31Damlinjab
- 32Lee
- 56Yao
Chengdu Rongcheng II
- 17Dai
- 27Van
- 31Qin W.
- 38Huang Zh.
- 41Juan
- 42Xiong
- 45Qeyser
- 48Lee H.
- 52Shuai
- 55Peng H.
- 59Wang Yu.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 35 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 29:10 | 34 | |
| 3 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 14:8 | 29 | |
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 | |
| 6 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 | |
| 7 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:15 | 17 | |
| 8 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 | |
| 9 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 | |
| 10 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8:20 | 14 | |
| 11 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16:30 | 12 | |
| 12 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11:25 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.