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China. Second League

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Chengdu Rongcheng II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Hangzhou Linping WuyuevsChengdu Rongcheng II Chengdu Rongcheng II
Our predictionHangzhou Linping Wuyue to win
Model score: Medium · 38/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Hangzhou Linping Wuyue at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Hangzhou Linping WuyueDraw2 · Chengdu Rongcheng II
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.97+6.0%
1X2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.53+2.6%
1X2Draw2.96-1.2%
1X2Chengdu Rongcheng II2.63-1.4%
BTTSNo1.72-6.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
55
Chengdu Rongcheng II
47

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.6%
2-18.9%
0-18.6%
2-07.6%
0-07.4%

Recent form

Hangzhou Linping WuyueDWLDW
Chengdu Rongcheng IIDLDWL

Expected goals

1.44Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
xG
1.17Chengdu Rongcheng II
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Chengdu Rongcheng II

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue win2.53Fair (+2.6%)
Double chanceHangzhou Linping Wuyue or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1111273
28952
3442
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Hangzhou Linping Wuyue at 38%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Chengdu Rongcheng II at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is priced at 2.53. The draw is priced at 2.96. Chengdu Rongcheng II is priced at 2.63.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Chengdu Rongcheng II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue or Chengdu Rongcheng II?

Our model rates Hangzhou Linping Wuyue as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Chengdu Rongcheng II?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue wins, 1 draws, 0 Chengdu Rongcheng II wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchXiongChengdu Rongcheng II8.0

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Starting XI
  • 3Yang5.8
  • 6He6.7
  • 7Gao6.3
  • 11Yin7.3
  • 15Jin6.7
  • 18Abdusalam6.7
  • 22Ye7.0
  • 26Xu6.8
  • 31Damlinjab6.3
  • 32Lee7.0
  • 56Yao6.2
Coach: Lei Xu

Chengdu Rongcheng II

Starting XI
  • 17Dai6.6
  • 27Van7.1
  • 31Qin W.6.7
  • 38Huang Zh.6.2
  • 41Juan6.7
  • 42Xiong8.0
  • 45Qeyser7.8
  • 48Lee H.6.9
  • 52Shuai6.7
  • 55Peng H.6.3
  • 59Wang Yu.7.2
Coach: Xu Jiamin

League table

China. Second League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Shandong Taishan II17114225:1435
2Shanghai Port II16102429:1034
3Dalian Kewei1772814:829
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1575320:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1565416:1422
6Dalian Yingbo II1542914:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1635814:1517
8Haimen Codion1525816:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142485:1014
10Changchun Xidu162688:2014
11Shanghai Segenda1729616:3012
12Beijing Institute of Technology1518611:259
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Group) League 2 (Relegation Group)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.