Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Haimen Codionvs
Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticThe model puts Haimen Codion at 45%. The model leans toward Haimen Codion. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic.
- −The head-to-head record favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (0-3-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Haimen Codion have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Haimen Codion is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Haimen Codion at 45%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Haimen Codion. Haimen Codion is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 2.85. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is priced at 4.41.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Haimen Codion have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Haimen Codion or Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?
Our model rates Haimen Codion as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Haimen Codion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Haimen Codion wins, 3 draws, 2 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Haimen Codion
- 7Xu
- 11Pei
- 17Bye
- 18Tan
- 19Zheng
- 21Chen
- 22Xie
- 23Yoo
- 32Qi
- 39Cao
- 46Xu
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
- 2Luo
- 4Yufeng X.
- 5Pan
- 7Lu
- 13Mu Q.
- 14Zhang
- 17Erkin
- 19Liu X.
- 25Zhang
- 39Chen Ke.
- 42Hu
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shandong Taishan II | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Shanghai Port II | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 29:10 | 34 |
| 3 |  Dalian Kewei | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 14:8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Taian Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 6 |  Dalian Yingbo II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Red Lions | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 |
| 10 |  Changchun Xidu | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8:20 | 14 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Segenda | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16:30 | 12 |
| 12 |  Beijing Institute of Technology | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11:25 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.