Scotland. League Cup

Stirling Albion vs Montrose: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Stirling Albionvs

Montrose

Our predictionMontrose to win

Model score: High · 75/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Montrose at 57%. The model leans toward Montrose. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Montrose.
+The head-to-head record favours Montrose (2-0-4).

Win probabilities

1 · Stirling Albion20%Draw23%2 · Montrose57%

1 · Stirling AlbionDraw2 · Montrose

Full team comparison →

Recent form

Stirling AlbionWLLDD

MontroseWWLDD

Team strength rating

Stirling Albion

Montrose

Most likely scorelines

0-113.3%

0-211.3%

1-111.3%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

1-06.6%

Expected goals

0.85Stirling Albion

1.70Montrose

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

Stirling Albion Montrose

Key points

Stirling Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Montrose have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stirling Albion have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Montrose is priced at 1.64.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Montrose win1.64Fair (+1.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	13	11	6	3
1	7	11	10	5	2
2	3	5	4	2
3		1	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Montrose1.64+1.9%

1X2Stirling Albion4.57-0.4%

1X2Draw3.70-1.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Stirling Albion at 20%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Montrose at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Montrose. Stirling Albion is priced at 4.565. The draw is priced at 3.7. Montrose is priced at 1.64.

Stirling Albion have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Montrose have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.

Stirling Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Montrose have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Montrose are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →