Ararat - Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ararat - Armeniavs
Shamrock RoversThe model puts Ararat - Armenia at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ararat - Armenia is priced at 2.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ararat - Armenia at 39%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Shamrock Rovers at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Ararat - Armenia is priced at 2.42. The draw is priced at 3.34. Shamrock Rovers is priced at 2.78.
Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ararat - Armenia or Shamrock Rovers?
Our model rates Ararat - Armenia as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ararat - Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.