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UEFA Champions League

Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Mjallby MjallbyvsLincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red Imps
Our predictionMjallby to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Mjallby at 80%. The model leans toward Mjallby. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · MjallbyDraw2 · Lincoln Red Imps
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.66+24.9%
1X2Mjallby1.18+0.2%
1X2Lincoln Red Imps14.20-0.1%
1X2Draw6.90-0.1%
BTTSYes2.10-24.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Mjallby
75
Lincoln Red Imps
34

Expected goals

1.87Mjallby
xG
0.26Lincoln Red Imps
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score19%

Recent form

MjallbyDLDD
Lincoln Red Imps

Most likely scorelines

1-022.3%
2-020.8%
3-012.9%
0-011.9%
4-06.0%
1-15.8%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Mjallby Lincoln Red Imps

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Mjallby win1.18Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0123
1226
2215
3133
462
52

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Mjallby at 80%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Mjallby. Mjallby is priced at 1.175. The draw is priced at 6.9. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 14.2.

Mjallby have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 19% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Mjallby or Lincoln Red Imps?

Our model rates Mjallby as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.