Clube do Remo vs EC Vitoria Salvador: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Clube do Removs
EC Vitoria SalvadorThe model puts Clube do Remo at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Clube do Remo creates more chances (12 vs 10 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head record favours EC Vitoria Salvador (1-2-2).
- −Clube do Remo are dealing with notable absentees.
- +EC Vitoria Salvador are dealing with notable absentees.
- −EC Vitoria Salvador controls more of the ball (39% vs 45%).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Clube do Remo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- EC Vitoria Salvador have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clube do Remo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Clube do Remo will be without Eduardo Melo, De Almeida J., Borges Ma., Carreiro P..
- EC Vitoria Salvador will be without Camutanga, Edu, Emmanuel Martinez, Mendes Nathan, Ze Vitor, Anderson de Jesus Santos, Dudu, Cantalapiedra, Ramos, Riccieli.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Clube do Remo at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts EC Vitoria Salvador at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Clube do Remo. Clube do Remo is priced at 2.21. The draw is priced at 3.36. EC Vitoria Salvador is priced at 3.3.
Clube do Remo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. EC Vitoria Salvador have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Clube do Remo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. EC Vitoria Salvador have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Clube do Remo average 1 goals per game this season. Clube do Remo average 39% possession. EC Vitoria Salvador average 1 goals per game this season. EC Vitoria Salvador average 45% possession.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Clube do Remo or EC Vitoria Salvador?
Our model rates Clube do Remo as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Clube do Remo vs EC Vitoria Salvador?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 1 Clube do Remo wins, 2 draws, 2 EC Vitoria Salvador wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 33:14 | 44 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 35:16 | 37 |
| 3 |  Clube Atletico Paranaense | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:19 | 33 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 5 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 |  Corinthians Paulista | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 8 |  Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | 27 |
| 9 |  Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33:32 | 26 |
| 10 |  Coritiba | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25:27 | 26 |
| 11 | EC Vitoria Salvador | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 24:22 | 25 |
| 13 |  Clube Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 14 |  Sport Club Internacional | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 22:24 | 21 |
| 15 |  Santos | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 |  Gremio Porto Alegrense | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 |  CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 19 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17:39 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.