Clube Atletico Paranaense vs Sport Club Internacional: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Clube Atletico Paranaensevs
Sport Club InternacionalThe model puts Clube Atletico Paranaense at 48%. The model leans toward Clube Atletico Paranaense. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Clube Atletico Paranaense score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- −The head-to-head record favours Sport Club Internacional (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Clube Atletico Paranaense have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sport Club Internacional have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clube Atletico Paranaense have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Clube Atletico Paranaense is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Clube Atletico Paranaense at 48%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Sport Club Internacional at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Clube Atletico Paranaense. Clube Atletico Paranaense is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.3. Sport Club Internacional is priced at 3.88.
Clube Atletico Paranaense have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sport Club Internacional have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Clube Atletico Paranaense have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Sport Club Internacional have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Clube Atletico Paranaense average 2 goals per game this season. Clube Atletico Paranaense average 50% possession. Sport Club Internacional average 1 goals per game this season. Sport Club Internacional average 50% possession.
The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Clube Atletico Paranaense or Sport Club Internacional?
Our model rates Clube Atletico Paranaense as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Clube Atletico Paranaense vs Sport Club Internacional?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Clube Atletico Paranaense wins, 1 draws, 4 Sport Club Internacional wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 33:14 | 44 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 35:16 | 37 |
| 3 | Clube Atletico Paranaense | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:19 | 33 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 5 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 |  Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:29 | 27 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25:27 | 26 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 24:22 | 25 |
| 10 |  Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 11 |  Clube Atletico Mineiro | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 12 |  EC Vitoria Salvador | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 13 |  Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 14 | Sport Club Internacional | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 22:24 | 21 |
| 15 |  Santos | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 |  Gremio Porto Alegrense | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 |  CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 |  Clube do Remo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 19 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 17:39 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.