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UEFA Champions League

KI Klaksvik vs Zalgiris Kaunas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

KI Klaksvik KI KlaksvikvsZalgiris Kaunas Zalgiris Kaunas
Our predictionKI Klaksvik to win
Model score: Medium · 42/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts KI Klaksvik at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · KI KlaksvikDraw2 · Zalgiris Kaunas
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.97+13.0%
1X2KI Klaksvik2.31+0.5%
1X2Draw3.18-0.3%
1X2Zalgiris Kaunas3.13-0.3%
BTTSNo1.75-13.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.78KI Klaksvik
xG
1.28Zalgiris Kaunas
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score60%
Team strength rating
KI Klaksvik
61
Zalgiris Kaunas
58

Most likely scorelines

1-110.7%
2-19.5%
1-08.3%
2-07.4%
1-26.8%
2-26.1%

Recent form

KI KlaksvikWWDLL
Zalgiris KaunasWWDDW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
KI Klaksvik Zalgiris Kaunas

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2KI Klaksvik win2.31Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceKI Klaksvik or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
05642
181173
271063
34642
4232
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts KI Klaksvik at 41%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. KI Klaksvik is priced at 2.31. The draw is priced at 3.18. Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 3.13.

KI Klaksvik have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. KI Klaksvik are on 2 wins in a row. Zalgiris Kaunas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Zalgiris Kaunas are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, KI Klaksvik or Zalgiris Kaunas?

Our model rates KI Klaksvik as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for KI Klaksvik vs Zalgiris Kaunas?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.