Larne vs Crvena Zvezda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Larnevs
Crvena ZvezdaThe model puts Crvena Zvezda at 83%. The model leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Larne have 4 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.113.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | ||||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Larne at 5%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Crvena Zvezda at 83%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Larne is priced at 22. The draw is priced at 7.8. Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.113.
Larne have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Larne are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Larne or Crvena Zvezda?
Our model rates Crvena Zvezda as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Larne vs Crvena Zvezda?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.