Talleres de Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Talleres de Cordobavs
Velez SarsfieldThe model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Talleres de Cordoba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Velez Sarsfield have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Talleres de Cordoba is priced at 2.504.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Talleres de Cordoba at 38%. The model puts the draw at 34%. The model puts Velez Sarsfield at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Talleres de Cordoba is priced at 2.504. The draw is priced at 2.799. Velez Sarsfield is priced at 3.375.
Talleres de Cordoba have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Velez Sarsfield have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Talleres de Cordoba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Velez Sarsfield have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Talleres de Cordoba or Velez Sarsfield?
Our model rates Talleres de Cordoba as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Talleres de Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Talleres de Cordoba wins, 1 draws, 2 Velez Sarsfield wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Riestra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Newell's Old Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Club Atletico Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Union de Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 12 | Talleres de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.