Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Atletico Tucuman at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Central Cordoba de Santiago.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Central Cordoba de Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Tucuman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Tucuman is priced at 2.474.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Central Cordoba de Santiago at 32%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Atletico Tucuman at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Central Cordoba de Santiago is priced at 3.275. The draw is priced at 2.912. Atletico Tucuman is priced at 2.474.
Central Cordoba de Santiago have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Atletico Tucuman have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Central Cordoba de Santiago have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Atletico Tucuman have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Central Cordoba de Santiago or Atletico Tucuman?
Our model rates Atletico Tucuman as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Central Cordoba de Santiago wins, 4 draws, 1 Atletico Tucuman wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.