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UEFA Europa League

Dynamo Kyiv vs P.A.O.K.: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo KyivvsP.A.O.K. P.A.O.K.
Our predictionDynamo Kyiv to win
Model score: Low · 25/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Dynamo Kyiv at 37%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Dynamo KyivDraw2 · P.A.O.K.
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.4%
0-18.9%
2-18.8%
1-27.5%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Dynamo Kyiv
52
P.A.O.K.
51

Expected goals

1.40Dynamo Kyiv
xG
1.20P.A.O.K.
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dynamo Kyiv P.A.O.K.

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dynamo Kyiv win2.55Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceDynamo Kyiv or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07952
1101273
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Dynamo Kyiv2.55+0.6%
1X2Draw3.15-0.3%
1X2P.A.O.K.2.70-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Dynamo Kyiv at 37%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts P.A.O.K. at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Dynamo Kyiv is priced at 2.55. The draw is priced at 3.15. P.A.O.K. is priced at 2.7.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dynamo Kyiv or P.A.O.K.?

Our model rates Dynamo Kyiv as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Kyiv vs P.A.O.K.?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.