Chongqing Tongliangloong vs Qingdao West Coast: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chongqing Tongliangloongvs
Qingdao West CoastThe model puts Chongqing Tongliangloong at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chongqing Tongliangloong have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Qingdao West Coast have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliangloong is priced at 2.395.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Chongqing Tongliangloong at 39%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Qingdao West Coast at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Chongqing Tongliangloong is priced at 2.395. The draw is priced at 3.06. Qingdao West Coast is priced at 3.04.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chongqing Tongliangloong have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Qingdao West Coast have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chongqing Tongliangloong or Qingdao West Coast?
Our model rates Chongqing Tongliangloong as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chongqing Tongliangloong vs Qingdao West Coast?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Chongqing Tongliangloong wins, 1 draws, 0 Qingdao West Coast wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.