Kristiansund BK vs IK Start: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kristiansund BKvs
IK StartThe model puts Kristiansund BK at 45%. The model leans toward Kristiansund BK. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kristiansund BK.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kristiansund BK have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- IK Start have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kristiansund BK have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kristiansund BK is priced at 2.21.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kristiansund BK at 45%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts IK Start at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kristiansund BK. Kristiansund BK is priced at 2.21. The draw is priced at 3.54. IK Start is priced at 3.14.
Kristiansund BK have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. IK Start have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kristiansund BK have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. IK Start have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kristiansund BK or IK Start?
Our model rates Kristiansund BK as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kristiansund BK vs IK Start?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Kristiansund BK wins, 2 draws, 2 IK Start wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 2 |  Bodo-Glimt | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:15 | 31 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 22:14 | 25 |
| 5 |  Molde | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Brann | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 28:22 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 8 |  HamKam | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:25 | 18 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 10 |  Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 13 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 16 | IK Start | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14:33 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.