Brann vs Valerenga: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brannvs
ValerengaThe model puts Brann at 57%. The model leans toward Brann. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Brann (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brann have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Valerenga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brann have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brann is priced at 1.71.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brann at 57%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Valerenga at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Brann. Brann is priced at 1.71. The draw is priced at 4.26. Valerenga is priced at 4.26.
Brann have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Valerenga have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Brann have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Valerenga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brann or Valerenga?
Our model rates Brann as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brann vs Valerenga?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Brann wins, 0 draws, 1 Valerenga wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 2 |  Bodo-Glimt | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:15 | 31 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 22:14 | 25 |
| 5 |  Molde | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Brann | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 28:22 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 8 |  HamKam | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:25 | 18 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 10 |  Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 |  Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 13 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 14 |  Aalesunds | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:28 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14:33 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.