Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Maccabi Tel AvivThe model puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 44%. The model leans toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheriff Tiraspol have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is priced at 2.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 29%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 3.34. The draw is priced at 3.45. Maccabi Tel Aviv is priced at 2.09.
Sheriff Tiraspol have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Sheriff Tiraspol are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheriff Tiraspol or Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our model rates Maccabi Tel Aviv as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.